Blog

READ ABOUT WORK BEING DONE BY FSC MEMBERS


2025 (Wood) Snake: A Year of Renewal & Agility?

February 27, 2025News

In Asia, a collective population of nearly 2 billion recently celebrated their New Year by saying “gōngxǐ fācái”, an expression that wishes “health and prosperity.” What will the 2025 (wood) Snake year likely bring?

read more

Why I Study Cycles

February 27, 2025Letters

The debt crisis is here; it is serious, and there is a limited liquidity window in which we can do something about it. 

read more

Solving the Technology Shake-Up With Cycles

February 26, 2025News

The S&P and NASDAQ indices, both weighted and unweighted, have broken out of consolidations. The cycles for both indices point up, so higher quotes are likely.

read more

Why I Bought My Own Ticket to Our Conference

January 30, 2025Letters

The FSC is hosting Live in '25, its first in-person cycles symposium in over 40 years.  We will be gathering in New York City from June 12 – 14, 2025.  As the Chairman of the FSC, I obviously didn’t need to buy my own ticket, but I did my buy own ticket and I want to tell you why.

read more

A Note from the Chairman on FSC's Archives

November 27, 2024Letters

Like most treasure hunts, mine involves a lot of drudgery, physical work, impossible to justify expenses, and trips to the dump. It started over a decade ago when I bought a plane ticket (my first expense) and made my way to southern California to see what I might find.

read more

The Need for Interdisciplinary Cycle Research

November 27, 2024News

Probably more than thousand scientists, the world over, have studied rhythmic behaviour of one sort or another. They have reported over 500 different sorts of phenomena which have been alleged to fluctuate rhythmically.

read more

Yen/Dollar: An Update

November 25, 2024News

Jake Bernstein highlights a market that he believes is positioned for a major price move.

read more

A note from the Chairman on FSC's In-Person Conference

October 31, 2024Letters

What’s got my mental wheels turning is FSC's first in-person conference in nearly 40 years. It’s official that the FSC will be gathering in NYC from June 12 - 14, 2025. I can’t wait to get together with many of you in person.

read more

Whereto for Very Long Climate Cycles?

September 27, 2024News

Western geologists have established that there are very long climate cycles with periods in repeated ratios of 2 and Russian Geologist S N Afanasiev has determined one of these cycles periods very accurately using his Nanocycles method.

read more

Yen/Dollar Cycle: How it Turned Out

August 27, 2024News

Jake Bernstein reviews long-term cycle in the yen/U.S. dollar relationship.

read more

A Note From FSC Chairman on Raymond Wheeler

August 26, 2024Letters

Board Chair Dr. Richard Smith on psychology professor Raymond Wheeler who studied the effects of climate on human psychology, culture, and behavior.

read more

FSC 2024 Financial Cycles Summit Recap

July 25, 2024News

This year’s midyear summit brought a few surprises and even a little controversy. Most importantly, it gave participants succinct and actionable forecasts.

read more

Time to Yen for the Yen?

July 25, 2024News

Jake Bernstein highlights a market that he believes is positioned for a major price move.

read more

FSC Masters Working Group: Special Guest Bill Sarubbi (FSC Board Member)

July 18, 2024News

FSC Board Member Bill Sarubbi offers an insider’s view of the markets and his current best opportunities during Masters Working Group interactive session.

read more

Harmonics Theory, Part 18: No Big Bang

May 29, 2024News

This is the final installment of FSC Science Director Ray Tomes' blog series in which shared the fundamentals of physics in layman's terms, showing how present theory must inevitably lead to all waves losing energy and forming harmonically related waves.

read more

Recurrent Patterns in “Small Trader” Stock Futures Market Sentiment: A Working Hypothesis Part 3

May 21, 2024News

Enjoy this multi-part series from FSC Board member Jake Bernstein on Recurrent Patterns in “Small Trader” Stock Futures Market Sentiment.

read more

Harmonics Theory, Part 17: Origin of the Harmonics Theory

April 25, 2024News

This blog series from FSC Science Director Ray Tomes will share the fundamentals of physics in layman's terms, showing how present theory must inevitably lead to all waves losing energy and forming harmonically related waves.

read more

Cycles: The Mysterious Forces That Trigger Events Chapter 1

April 25, 2024News

This is the first chapter of the newly republished Cycles: The Mysterious Forces That Trigger Events, a groundbreaking work by FSC Founder Edward R. Dewey.

read more

Recurrent Patterns in “Small Trader” Stock Futures Market Sentiment: A Working Hypothesis Part 2

April 22, 2024News

Enjoy this multi-part series from FSC Board member Jake Bernstein on Recurrent Patterns in “Small Trader” Stock Futures Market Sentiment.

read more

Harmonics Theory, Part 16: Commonly Reported Cycles

March 27, 2024News

This blog series from FSC Science Director Ray Tomes will share the fundamentals of physics in layman's terms, showing how present theory must inevitably lead to all waves losing energy and forming harmonically related waves.

read more

Forward to Cycles: The Mysterious Forces That Trigger Events

March 27, 2024News

This is the forward by FSC Chairman of the Board and Executive Director Dr. Richard Smith from the newly republished Cycles: The Mysterious Forces That Trigger Events by FSC Founder Edward R. Dewey.

read more

Recurrent Patterns in “Small Trader” Stock Futures Market Sentiment: A Working Hypothesis

March 27, 2024News

Enjoy this multi-part series from FSC Board member Jake Bernstein on Recurrent Patterns in “Small Trader” Stock Futures Market Sentiment.

read more

Harmonics Theory, Part 15: The Fundamental Cycle

March 22, 2024News

This blog series from FSC science director Ray Tomes shares the fundamentals of physics in layman's terms, showing how present theory must inevitably lead to all waves losing energy and forming harmonically related waves. The end result is a very specific detailed structure that matches the observed universe and explains many previously mysterious observations.

read more

Harmonics Theory, Part 14: Observed Major Structure Scales

January 25, 2024News

This blog series from FSC science director Ray Tomes shares the fundamentals of physics in layman's terms, showing how present theory must inevitably lead to all waves losing energy and forming harmonically related waves. The end result is a very specific detailed structure that matches the observed universe and explains many previously mysterious observations.

read more

FSC Market Forecast 2024 Recap

January 24, 2024News

The Foundation Study for Cycles (FSC) recently hosted Market Forecast 2024, featuring key insights from several leading market experts.

read more

“Fly me to the moon” & back!

January 8, 2024News

Welcome to 2024, the worst new year market reaction since 2000 TMT and return start since 2019.

read more

4th Annual Market Forecast

December 21, 2023News

Join us live for Market Forecast 2024, a three-day event from January 9 to 11 at 4PM EST. This year's event showcases some of the greatest minds in finance and cycles analysis.

read more

Harmonics Theory, Part 13: Major and Secondary Scales

December 19, 2023News

This blog series from FSC science director Ray Tomes shares the fundamentals of physics in layman's terms, showing how present theory must inevitably lead to all waves losing energy and forming harmonically related waves. The end result is a very specific detailed structure that matches the observed universe and explains many previously mysterious observations.

read more

Santa Claus Is Coming To Town

December 19, 2023News

Sound the alarm! The recent escape-velocity melt-up in mega cap tech, is likely to suffer the perils of "painting the tape," based on historic divergences in market internals.

read more

Harmonics Theory, Part 12: Really Big Numbers

November 22, 2023News

This blog series from FSC Science Director Ray Tomes will share the fundamentals of physics in layman's terms, showing how present theory must inevitably lead to all waves losing energy and forming harmonically related waves.

read more

Get a First Look at the Cycles App Upgrade

November 16, 2023News

Join us for a LIVE demonstration of the new app on Thursday, November 30 at 4PM EDT.

read more

Harmonics Theory, Part 11: Flow of Energy

October 30, 2023News

This blog series from FSC Science Director Ray Tomes will share the fundamentals of physics in layman's terms, showing how present theory must inevitably lead to all waves losing energy and forming harmonically related waves.

read more

Seasonality Headwinds Strike Again!

September 28, 2023News

Lightning has already struck multiple times in the last few weeks, hit by bank failures, market turmoil, and ongoing economic uncertainty – elevating risk of a Minsky  moment. Why now?

read more

Harmonics Theory, Part 10: Families of Harmonics

September 28, 2023News

This blog series from FSC Science Director Ray Tomes will share the fundamentals of physics in layman's terms, showing how present theory must inevitably lead to all waves losing energy and forming harmonically related waves.

read more

Harmonics Theory, Part 9: Main Line Harmonics

August 31, 2023News

This blog series from FSC Science Director Ray Tomes will share the fundamentals of physics in layman's terms, showing how present theory must inevitably lead to all waves losing energy and forming harmonically related waves.

read more

Tech Innovation Cycles & the Current Mega-Cap Melt-Up

July 21, 2023News

Sound the alarm! The recent escape-velocity melt-up in mega cap tech, is likely to suffer the perils of "painting the tape," based on historic divergences in market internals.

read more

Harmonics Theory, Part 8: Outstanding Harmonics

July 20, 2023News

This blog series from FSC Science Director Ray Tomes will share the fundamentals of physics in layman's terms, showing how present theory must inevitably lead to all waves losing energy and forming harmonically related waves.

read more

The Perils of "Painting the Tape"

June 29, 2023News

Sound the alarm! The recent escape-velocity melt-up in mega cap tech, is likely to suffer the perils of "painting the tape," based on historic divergences in market internals.

read more

Harmonics Theory, Part 7: Patterns in the Harmonics

June 27, 2023News

This blog series from FSC Science Director Ray Tomes will share the fundamentals of physics in layman's terms, showing how present theory must inevitably lead to all waves losing energy and forming harmonically related waves.

read more

Financial Crisis Forum Recap

May 25, 2023News

The Foundation for the Study of Cycles hosted a Financial Crisis Forum to share insights on whether the recent volatile macro landscape was a “near miss or eye of the storm.”

read more

Harmonics Theory, Part 6: Many Harmonics

May 25, 2023News

This blog series from FSC Science Director Ray Tomes will share the fundamentals of physics in layman's terms, showing how present theory must inevitably lead to all waves losing energy and forming harmonically related waves.

read more

FSC to Offer World-Class Cycles Detection Technology

April 22, 2023News

The FSC announced an agreement to merge with WhenToTrade (WTT) and offer exclusive access to WTT's powerful cycles analysis technology.

read more

Banking Panic: Near Miss or Eye of the Storm?

April 19, 2023News

Banking Panic: Near Miss or Eye of the Storm? Join us live for the FSC Financial Crisis Forum: May 9 at 3 PM EDT

read more

Harmonics Theory, Part 5: Nonlinear Waves Make Harmonics

April 10, 2023News

This blog series from FSC Science Director Ray Tomes will share the fundamentals of physics in layman's terms, showing how present theory must inevitably lead to all waves losing energy and forming harmonically related waves.

read more

It's Just Time

April 6, 2023News

Lightning has already struck multiple times in the last few weeks, hit by bank failures, market turmoil, and ongoing economic uncertainty – elevating risk of a Minsky  moment. Why now?

read more

Are the Dominoes Starting to Fall?

March 17, 2023News

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink asked in his annual letter to shareholders whether "the dominoes" are "starting to fall" in the U.S. financial system, pointing to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) last week and a number of other issues that could emerge following years of easy money.

read more

March: Stock Market Cycles Update

March 16, 2023News

Mid-March has always been the predicted window of opportunity for the cycles to move from a short upward phase (that began in late December) into the bearish camp. This update is a confirmation of the cycles already shown.

read more

Harmonics Theory, Part 4: Speed of Light

March 10, 2023News

This new blog series from FSC Science Director Ray Tomes will share the fundamentals of physics in layman's terms, showing how present theory must inevitably lead to all waves losing energy and forming harmonically related waves.

read more

Market Forecast 2023 Recap

February 22, 2023News

The FSC hosted another successful event, Market Forecast 2023, featuring key insights from six leading market experts across three days. Once again, we saw record attendance and new members, marking the growing interest in the world of cycles.

read more

Will the 2023 (Water) Rabbit Hop or Drop?

February 9, 2023News

This year has been surprisingly positive, with SPX gaining 6%, significantly outperforming the historical average. Most importantly, it also offered relief from last year’s market carnage. What's next?

read more

Will lightning strike twice?

February 7, 2023News

How will market returns prevail and will lightning strike again from last year’s worst than expected shakeout? Seasonality patterns can help offer early clues.

read more

Harmonics Theory, Part 3: Nonlinearity of Waves

January 30, 2023News

This new blog series from FSC Science Director Ray Tomes will share the fundamentals of physics in layman's terms, showing how present theory must inevitably lead to all waves losing energy and forming harmonically related waves.

read more

Market Forecast 2023

December 19, 2022News

Join us live for Market Forecast 2023, a three-day event on January 10-12 at 4 PM EST. Register for limited early-bird pricing.

read more

Harmonics Theory, Part 2: The Physics and Maths

December 16, 2022News

This new blog series from FSC Science Director Ray Tomes will share the fundamentals of physics in layman's terms, showing how present theory must inevitably lead to all waves losing energy and forming harmonically related waves. The end result is a very specific detailed structure that matches the observed universe and explains many previously mysterious observations.

read more

Harmonics Theory, Part 1: The Physics and Maths

November 17, 2022News

This new blog series from FSC science director Ray Tomes will share the fundamentals of physics in layman's terms, showing how present theory must inevitably lead to all waves losing energy and forming harmonically related waves. The end result is a very specific detailed structure that matches the observed universe and explains many previously mysterious observations.

read more

Free Event: Seasonality in Markets and Nature

November 2, 2022News

Join us live for Seasonality in Markets and Science on December 14 at 4 PM EST (replay available for registrants). Registration is free. Hear from three renowned experts and learn how seasonal cycles can inform trading into 2023.

read more

The Halloween Effect: Trick or Treat?

November 1, 2022News

Elevated market volatility and black swan event risk proved scary to most investors as we marked the ominous Halloween festivity. In financial markets, Halloween’s (late-October) timing coincides with the aftermath of an infamous fall-crash pattern, which typically fuels a relief-rally from oversold extremes.

read more

Cycles TV with Robert Prechter

October 10, 2022Cycles TV

Join us for a very special episode of Cycles TV on October 22 at noon ET featuring Robert Prechter, president and founder of Elliott Wave International and author of 18 books on finance and socionomics, including Conquer the Crash, a New York Times bestseller.

read more

Cycles in Composers

October 5, 2022News

Is there a 125-year cycle in birth dates of composers?

read more

Seasonality Danger Zone Ahead

October 4, 2022News

A sea of red hit markets early this week, notably on the NASDAQ where every single stock closed in red for the first time since March 2020. Is there a seasonality danger zone ahead?

read more

FSC's Roundtable on Gold and other Precious Metals Recap

September 28, 2022News

A report on the Foundation of Study of Cycles' critical roundtable on gold and other precious metals in August featuring five expert speakers and hosted by Ron William CFTe.

read more

Financial Cycles Summit July 2022 Recap

August 17, 2022News

FSC hosted another successful Financial Cycles Summit, featuring key insights from six leading market experts across an extended three days. Once again, it marked a record attendance and new members, as part of the growing interest in the world of cycles.

read more

JPY: Catching the Falling Knife?

August 8, 2022News

JPY has been in free-fall liquidation, down nearly 20% YTD, becoming the worst performing currency among its developed G10 peers. How do investors avoid “catching the falling knife?”

read more

3.029- and 3.606-Minute Cycles in Solar Wind Speed

August 2, 2022News

Calculations show how the change in solar wind speed compares to the corresponding change at lags of up to 200 minutes and it can be clearly seen that there is a cycle of 3 minutes or so, as well as a modulation of 19 minutes in the autocorrelation.

read more

Seasonality Patterns Realign

July 5, 2022News

Global markets clearly decided to sell in May (SIM) this year, but rather than go away, opportunistic speculators returned straight away, with S&P500 bouncing twice by almost 10% from oversold extremes during late May and mid-June. Market professionals are now debating if they should buy the dip, or sell the rally.

read more

Minsky Crash Ahead

May 25, 2022News

The Minsky risk call is now heightened as the S&P500 reactivates its crash pattern after finally breaking under key support at 4100

read more

Lars von Thienen on Markus Koch Wall Street

May 18, 2022News

Board Member, Lars von Thienen was interviewed recently by Markus Koch on Markus Koch Wall Street.

read more

Science Cycles Summit: May 17 & 19

April 28, 2022News

Registration is now open for the Science Cycles Summit. The summit takes place on May 17 and May 19 at 4 PM EDT/9 PM BST. Don't miss this incredible lineup of speakers!

read more

FSC Cycles App Finalist for Technical Analyst Awards

March 31, 2022News

The Foundation for the Study of Cycles' cycles-detection technology has been selected as a finalist in The Technical Analyst Awards 2022 in the categories of Best Special Product/Research and Most Innovative New Product.

read more

Is the Big Cycle Turning?

March 17, 2022News

The approach featured in T3 is global, multi-asset, top-down; grounded in behavioral technical analysis, driven by cycles, based on the Roadmap signature model of Robin Griffiths, published in Mapping the Markets.

read more

Theodore Modis on the Primordial S-Curve

March 5, 2022Cycles TV

On a very special episode of Cycles TV, Theodore Modis shares his work on the Primordial S-Curve and the relationship between complexity and entropy.

read more

FSC Market Forecast 2022 Recap

January 28, 2022News

FSC’s Annual Market Forecast 2022 proved a great success and marked the largest influx of new members in years! Our leadership team of market experts shared key insights collectively.

read more

Market Cycles Report Predicts Baltic Dry Index Crash

January 24, 2022Cycles TV

In September 2021, FSC Board Member Lars von Thienen analyzed the Baltic Dry Index in a live episode of Market Cycles Report, noting that the dominant cycle was peaking. It peaked one week after the live broadcast.

read more

The FSC Welcomes New Development Director

November 22, 2021News

Ron William has more than 20 years of experience working for leading economic research and institutional firms and producing tactical research and trading strategies.

read more

The FSC Mourns the Loss of Richard Mogey

September 20, 2021News

It is with a deep appreciation for the contributions of Richard Mogey to the Foundation for the Study of Cycles that we share with you the sad news of his recent passing.

read more

The FSC mourns the loss Mark McVey

August 12, 2021News

We are very saddened to report that Mark McVey, our Chief Operating Officer, has passed away. He has been an invaluable part of managing the daily operations of the FSC since early 2020.

read more

S&P Short-Term Cycles Outlook

May 28, 2021News

According to Board Member Bill Sarubbi's short-term cycles outlook for the S&P, the period of May-June, EOM strength will begin on May 31 and run to June 12.

read more

New Upgraded Cycles Scanner Now Available

May 26, 2021News

We are thrilled to announce the release of a new upgraded version of the Cycles Scanner, Cycles Scanner: Analyst. Available to Members only, this powerful cycles analysis tool is unrivaled!

read more

NEW Cycles TV: Saturday Science Summary

May 5, 2021Cycles TV

Ray Tomes, FSC Board Member and Science Director, will host the new Saturday Science Summary on Cycles TV. The recorded broadcast will explore recent science news through the lens of cycles analysis.

read more

Cycles Magazine Live

April 27, 2021Cycles TV

Join us on Saturday, May 1 at noon ET, for Cycles Magazine Live. Board Chair and Executive Director, Dr. Richard Smith hosts and will be joined by special guest John Goldstone, coauthor of Welcome to the Turbulent Twenties.

read more

Cycles Magazine: Special Earth Day Issue

April 22, 2021News

Another exceptional issue of Cycles Magazine is out! This special Earth Day issue features a reprint of one of the most important papers in the history of the Foundation, The Case for Cycles by our Founder, Edward R. Dewey.

read more

What do Harry and Megan have to do with cycles?

March 25, 2021News

Take a look at an 82- to 84-year cycle of disruption, revolution and great change, from the history of world events to Harry and Megan and turmoil in the British Royal Family.

read more

Cycles TV Live with Jay Kaeppel

March 19, 2021Cycles TV

SAVE THE DATE: On Saturday, March 27 at noon EDT, join us live for a very special episode of Cycles TV. Dr. Richard Smith will interview Jay Kaeppel, Senior Research Analyst at Sentiment Trader.

read more

New Ideas Page in Cycles Scanner App

March 18, 2021News

In our ongoing commitment to encourage and support the study of cycles we have created a new Ideas page in the Cycles Scanner that allows Members to share and comment on published workbooks.

read more

Dominant Cycles in Investment Managers’ Exposure To U.S. Equity Markets Indicate Impending Turnaround

February 5, 2021News

The importance of analyzing sentiment cycles of active money managers plays a critical role in assessing financial risk. Dominant cycles in the National Association of Active Investment Managers Exposure Index have been identified with high correlation over the past 15 years. The current state of the dominant cycles indicates a possible reversal for U.S. equity markets.

read more

Cycles Magazine 80th Anniversary Issue

January 28, 2021News

We are thrilled to announce the release of the second issue of the revived Cycles Magazine, a special 80th Anniversary edition. Cycles Magazine is a quarterly publication that showcases the work of Members and cycles researchers from all over the world.

read more

Market Forecast 2021

January 6, 2021News

Join us live for Market Forecast 2021, a week-long speaker series featuring renowned experts in the world of finance and trading.

read more

Registration Is Open for the Science Cycles Summit

January 4, 2021News

As part of our celebration of the FSC's 80th Anniversary, FSC Board Member and Science Director, Ray Tomes is hosting the Science Cycles Summit live on Saturday, January 16, 2021. This all day event will feature presentations from luminaries in the field of cycles science. Register today!

read more

A Holiday Message from the FSC

December 21, 2020News

Today, on the darkest day of the year, Jupiter and Saturn will align in the night sky, creating what will look like a double planet. It was March 4, 1226, the last time these planets were so close.

read more

FSC TV Live: Current Outlooks for the S&P and Gold

December 9, 2020Cycles TV

Join us for FSC TV Live this Saturday, December 12, at 11 am EST. Dr. Richard Smith, Chairman of the Board and Executive Director, talks to Board Member Bill Sarubbi about current outlooks for the S&P and gold.

read more

Top 3 BTC Cycles Topping

November 25, 2020News

Dr. Richard Smith sees the top 3 BTC cycles topping.

read more

Science Cycles Summit

November 19, 2020News

On Saturday, January 16, 2021, FSC Board Member and Science Director, Ray Tomes is hosting the Science Cycles Summit . This all day event will feature seven presentations from luminaries in the science of cycles.

read more

Cycles TV: Financial Cycles Summit Three Month Review

November 11, 2020Cycles TV

On Saturday, November 4, Dr. Richard Smith takes a look back at the Financial Cycles Summit to see what we got right, what we got wrong, and where we go from here.

read more

Cycles TV: Weekly Cycles Market Report

November 6, 2020Cycles TV

Join us live every Monday at Noon EST for Cycles Market Report, a weekly discussion on Cycles TV of cycles analysis using current market data.

read more

Cycles Magazine Returns After 25 Years

November 5, 2020News

We are thrilled to announce the relaunch of Cycles Magazine: The Official Journal of the Foundation for the Study of Cycles, a quarterly publication that will showcase the work of Members and cycles researchers from all over the world.

read more

Cycles Magazine: Call for Articles

November 4, 2020News

The FSC  invites Members and cycles researchers worldwide to submit papers and articles for consideration for inclusion in Cycles Magazine on topics related to cycles.

read more

Edward R. Dewey Cycles Award: Call for Papers

October 28, 2020News

We are thrilled to announced the creation of the Edward R. Dewey Cycles Award in honor of Founder, Edward R. Dewey. Dewey devoted his life to the study of cycles and the Award aims to build on that work by supporting and encouraging cycles research.

read more

FSC and Cycles Research Institute Unite to Further the Advancement of Cycles Science

October 22, 2020News

We are pleased to announced that Cycles Research Institute (CRI) will be merging with the FSC to create a united, not-for-profit educational institution dedicated to the study of cycles. CRI’s Director, Ray Tomes, will join the FSC Board of Directors to galvanize cycles research in the sciences.

read more