This year's 4th annual Market Forecast showcases some of the greatest minds in finance and cycles analysis. This is the FSC's premier event of 2024. You don't want to miss it!
Join us live for Market Forecast 2024, a three-day event from January 9 to 11 at 4PM EST. We are excited to announce that this year's event will be available FREE to everyone!
This year we have an extraordinary lineup, including:
- Robert Prechter
- Larry Williams
- Stan Harley
- Jake Bernstein
- Andrew Pancholi
- Bill Sarubbi
- Dr. Richard Smith
- Lars von Thienen
- Ron William
Backed by leading experts and trading professionals who have become legends in their fields, combined with the power of state-of-the-art cyclical analysis tools, we provide the FSC community with succinct and actionable forecasts. Be prepared for some shockers!
Reserve your seat. Sign up free today!
The FSC cycles app is the most powerful cycles analysis platform you can get. For years, it has powered the research and market analysis of the FSC community.
And in two weeks, we’re launching the biggest upgrade in its history. This, finally, is the tool that investors and cycles analysts have been waiting for. We’re ready to show you how it works.
Please join us for a LIVE demonstration of the new app on Thursday, November 30 at 4PM EDT.
FSC Chairman Dr. Richard Smith will lead the ~30-minute demo with the app’s creator and engineer, Lars von Thienen. Then we’ll open it up to your questions.
The upgrade includes:
- New AI-powered analysis to pick dominant cycles
- Price target projection (← This is huge. Timing + price target projections will blow your mind.)
- Easy integration with your current analysis tools
- So much more…
Important: We’ll offer one-time-only pricing at the live demo. Secure your seat now to guarantee access.
A small group of early adopters have been testing the upgrade for a couple of months, and the feedback has blown us away:
"Exceeded my expectations." C.B. | "A game changer." A.G. | "I wouldn't trade without it." R.S.
Now is the time to take your cycles work and investing to the next level.
There’s a lot more to say, but we’ll save it for the LIVE demo.
Claim your FREE spot on this upcoming virtual event!
The Foundation for the Study of Cycles (FSC) announced an agreement to merge with WhenToTrade (WTT), a technology company that has been creating cycles detection software for over a decade.
“I want this technology to be of use to as many people as possible," said WTT Founder Lars von Thienen. "Over the last year of the FSC's significant growth, it became clear that the best way to accomplish this was to team with the FSC, an organization I have a profound respect for and belief in."
With the merger, WTT's powerful cycles analysis technology will now be offered exclusively through the FSC.
Members will continue to use a standard version of the cycles app free with a basic FSC Membership. Members who upgrade to the Analyzer Pro level will have exclusive access to WTT's award-winning Cycles Analyzer Pro, which features tech support, specialized onboarding and ongoing training, and other enhanced features that will assist in decoding and analyzing dominant cycles in any dataset.
"We're thrilled and very grateful that Lars has entrusted the FSC with his amazing cycles detection tool," said Dr. Richard Smith, Board Chair of the FSC. "The FSC's mission is to foster and support the advancement of cycles science, and now having exclusive access to this app and the ability to provide our Members with support has taken the FSC to a whole new level."
The FSC is currently setting up the systems to launch this amazing new tool in May 2023. Sign up for the wait list to be the first to hear about the Cycles Analyzer Pro launch.
Join us live* for the FSC Financial Crisis Forum
May 9 at 3 PM EDT
Lightning has struck multiple times in the last few weeks – bank failures, market turmoil, and ongoing economic uncertainty.
Was this a near miss, or are we in the eye of the storm?
Get your questions answered at this interactive event – forewarned is forearmed!
Join world-renowned cycles experts for a timely panel discussion on what is coming next. Gain critical perspective on the volatile events unfolding in the banking industry and the economy.
Because of the urgency of the banking crisis and how it might impact our community, we are offering this event FREE!
LIVE* | 6 Experts | May 9 | 3PM EDT
Hear from leading cycles and market experts, including:
Dr. Richard Smith – How to Prepare for Market Volatility
A financial technology pioneer, Dr. Richard Smith is the founder of Finiac, a risk-management app for retail investors. As the founder and former CEO of TradeStops, he grew that app to more than 30,000 retail investors, who entrusted his technology with a staggering $20 billion.
Jake Bernstein – Cycles, Seasonality, and Protective Strategies
Publisher of Jake Bernstein's Weekly Futures Trading Letter since 1972, Bernstein is regularly quoted in the financial press and on financial websites. Traders and money managers both new and experienced subscribe to his market advisory services. He has been trading futures and stocks since 1968.
Lars von Thienen – Financial Stress Index Cycles
Founder and CEO of a knowledge management company, von Thienen develops algorithms and software for cycles recognition. He has published two books on cycles analysis and invented a stand-alone, desktop search and knowledge management app. Watch him Mondays at noon ET on the FSC YouTube program Market Cycles Report.
Andrew Pancholi – Key Lesson from the 1933 Banking Crisis: How History Repeats with Mathematical Precision
Best-selling author and creator of the Market Timing Report, Pancholi accurately predicted the 2020 crash, 2000 equity highs, 2007-08 global financial crisis, and commodity booms of 2008 and 2010. He consults with some of the largest banks and institutions in the world.
Bill Sarubbi – Panic Cycle and Implications for the Future
A regular Forbes contributor, Sarubbi operates his own money management and consulting service. He was an analyst, institutional broker, and technical strategist on Wall Street and a technology fund manager, North American strategist, and member of the currency hedging committee with the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority.
Ron William – Roadmap Cycle and Gold's Crisis Hedge
Ron William, CFTe, is a market strategist and educator with over 20 years of experience working for leading economic research and institutional firms. At his market advisory firm (RWA), his work gained industry recognition, and his market insights are featured regularly in financial media.
LIVE* | 6 Experts | May 9 | 3PM EDT
Space is limited; register today FREE!
*Sessions will be recorded and available after the event.
The FSC hosted another successful event, Market Forecast 2023, featuring key insights from six leading market experts across three days. Once again, we broke records for attendance and new members, marking a growing interest in the study of cycles.
The event kicked off with keynote speaker and trading veteran Larry Williams presenting 2023: The Year We Find Out if Cycles Really Work or Not. He credited the early cycle pioneers and posed key questions on theory, validity, and practical application. Noteworthy was his citation of Gertrude Shirk: “Of the thousands of rhythmic cycles in hundreds of subjects the Foundation for the Study of Cycles has studied, one we have reported repeatedly since 1951 is the 40.68-month cycle in stock prices.”
A primary cycle rhythm approximation was also highlighted by other experts such as Edward Dewey and Edgar Lawrence Smith. Williams shared his cycle studies revealing that a similar 40/42-month cycle has influenced stock prices for almost 150 years!
Further analysis is demonstrated on fundamental analysis as a method for better understanding and prediction of the uncertain macro environment in 2023 and beyond. Williams predicts a make-or-break price reaction in 2023, favoring an upside surprise. He acknowledges cycles are useful as part of a process with conditions and rules.
FSC Chairman, Dr. Richard Smith’s presentation Cycles, Correlation, and Volatility offered a review of global cross-assets using the FSC’s flagship cycles technology. Smith encouraged preparation for the “sea change ahead” as cited by Howard Marks of Oaktree Capital.
He demonstrated a strategic framework using cycles analysis with a correlation matrix to help identify critical relationships, while avoiding portfolio concentration risk. The importance of risk management was emphasized by using Finiac’s smart analytic tool that calculates probability distributions of market tail-risk, enabling a more astute risk-reward assessment.
The grand finale was a review of long cycles powered by FSC’s cycles technology and Global Financial Data. Below is a chart on 10-year U.S. interest rates over the last +200 years confirming a new structural rise ahead.
On day two Jake Bernstein shared his latest market insights using his science-of-trading approach (Setup, Trigger, and Follow-Through or STF model). Additional overlays included price and indicator cycles, divergence, seasonals, sentiment positioning, and patterns. Bernstein’s headline chart was Copper fuelled by a strong COT positioning build-up, likely from China (chart below). Looking at the equity market, he expects a short-term upside surprise and warns of focusing too much on the negative headlines, which often serve as a contrarian indicator.
Ron William shared his latest Roadmap Cycle as part of a “crisis-opportunity” in 2023, marked by compounding headwinds across macro, fundamental, and technical factors. However, in the short term, his global ranking model signals a tactical risk sentiment rally, with pro-growth market forces in China after its reopening from a three-year pandemic lockdown.
He highlighted key behavioural challenges and how cycles provide a real edge during VUCA times. Thematic analysis included new year seasonality Will lightning strike twice blog post and media interview, which is aligned with his composite cycle model prediction for risk into H2 2023-2024 (Figure 1). Time confluence was also shared with the cycle analysis of Samuel Benner & WD Gann (Figure 2).
On day three Lars von Thienen braved the million-dollar question: Will Crypto Recover Or Will Winter Last Forever? His presentation featured BTC long-term cycle analysis, and he discussed the importance of the 200-day nominal cycle and specific cycles patterns.
He reviewed the 2021-2022 cycles projection forecast: The count of #5 in action (predicted in advance in FSC 2021 summit), including a pattern that predicted the end of an 80% drop (chart below). Real-time analysis was also featured at the end with live BTC cycle projections.
Finally, Bill Sarubbi shared his latest market insights in his presentation, Overall Indices, Sector Groups, and Stocks. His analysis signaled the S&P500 is likely to rally over the short-term. However, expectations remain for the bear market to resume in 2023, likely in March/April. Timing is based on his dynamic composite cycle model driven by the 1-4-10-year pattern (chart below).
Macro headwinds remain, notably an inverted yield curve which continues to predict recession and lower markets. A decline in the real estate cycle is also likely to cut consumer spending. In the meantime, commodities, such as gold and oil, are likely to move higher.
Can we know the future before it happens? At the Foundation for the Study of Cycles, we don’t claim to, but we try to get close. And many times we do.
Backed by leading experts and trading professionals who have become legends in their fields, combined with the power of state-of-the-art cyclical analysis tools, we provide Members with succinct and actionable forecasts.
Join us live for Market Forecast 2023, a three-day event on January 10-12 at 4 PM EST. Register for limited early-bird pricing.
In addition to the unbelievably low price of $97 for the entire three-day event – presented live and recorded for registrants – your admission fee includes a free one-year FSC Membership.
DAY 1: LARRY WILLIAMS
2023: THE YEAR WE FIND OUT IF CYCLES REALLY WORK OR NOT
With over 50 years of experience, Larry Williams has taught thousands of investors to trade the markets. Williams has written several best-selling books, including How to Prosper in the Coming Good Years, which accurately forecasted the largest bull market and surge in economic growth in U.S. history, and has taught thousands to trade the markets. Learn more about Williams at IReallyTrade.com.
DAY 1: DR. RICHARD SMITH
CYCLES, CORRELATION, AND VOLATILITY
A financial technology pioneer, Dr. Richard Smith is the founder of Finiac, a risk-management app for retail investors. As the former CEO and founder, he grew TradeStops to more than 30,000 retail investors who entrusted his technology with a staggering $20 billion. He has been featured in Business Insider, MarketWatch, Forbes, CNN Business, Newsweek, Money, BBC, and more. Dr. Smith is the Chairman of the Board and Executive Director of the FSC.
DAY 2: LARS VON THIENEN
CYCLES IN CRYPTO: HOW LONG WILL WINTER LAST?
Founder and CEO of a knowledge management company, von Thienen develops algorithms and software for cycles recognition at WhenToTrade. He has published two books on cycles analysis and invented a stand-alone, desktop search and knowledge management app. Watch von Thienen on Market Cycles Report every Monday at noon ET. He is on the FSC's Board of Directors.
DAY 2: JAKE BERNSTEIN
2023: THE "UNEXPECTED" REVEALED
Publisher of Jake Bernstein's Weekly Futures Trading Letter since 1972, Bernstein is regularly quoted in the financial press and on financial websites. Traders and money managers both new and experienced subscribe to his market advisory services. He has been trading futures and stocks since 1968. Bernstein is on the FSC's Board of Directors.
DAY 3: BILL SARUBBI
OVERALL INDICES, SECTORS, GROUPS, AND STOCKS
A regular Forbes contributor, Sarubbi operates his own money management and consulting service. He was an analyst, institutional broker, and technical strategist on Wall Street and a technology fund manager, North American strategist, and member of the currency hedging committee with the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority. Sarubbi is on the FSC's Board of Directors.
DAY 3: RON WILLIAM
THE ROADMAP AND CRISIS-OPPORTUNITY OF 2023
Ron William, CFTe, is a market strategist and educator/mentor with more than 20 years of experience working for leading economic research and institutional firms. At his market advisory firm (RWA), his work gained industry recognition, and his market insights are featured regularly in financial media and industry publications. William is the FSC's Development Director.
Join us live for Market Forecast 2023, a three-day event on January 10-12 at 4 PM EST. Register for limited early-bird pricing.
December 14, 2022, at 4PM EST
SEASONALITY IN MARKETS AND NATURE
Hear from three renowned experts and learn how seasonal cycles can inform trading into 2023. Registration is free. Sign up today!
Jake Bernstein: High-Odds Seasonal Trading
One of the most predictable cyclical patterns is seasonality. Not only does seasonal analysis allow for complete statistical evaluation of investments or trades in stocks and futures, but it can be combined with technical timing indicators to fine tune trading entries and exits. In this webinar Jake Bernstein, a 52-year veteran trader and FSC Board Member, presents his specific approach to finding, trading, and evaluating seasonal cycles using powerful search tools and triggers.
Ray Tomes: Seasonal Cycles in Markets & Nature
FSC Board Member and Science Director Ray Tomes will present his approach to determining the significance of seasonal cycles in a year and fractions of a year (12, 6, 4, 3, etc. months). He will look at examples of annual cycles shape, including markets, commodities, weather, and diseases.
Ron William: Trading the Bear-Market Rally Using Seasonality into 2023
U.S. equity markets triggered one of the largest one-month surges in over 40 years. FSC Development Director Ron William will discuss how to trade this bear-market rally using technical, seasonality, and cycle patterns – most notably the post-Halloween effect and midterm presidential cycle, both signaling upside into Q2 2023. Thereafter, a larger structural market fall is expected, based on the roadmap model framework.
Live | 3 Experts | 4 PM EST | FREE
(Replay available for registrants)
Join us live on December 15 at 4 PM EST.
Join us for a very special episode of Cycles TV on October 22 at noon ET featuring Robert Prechter, president and founder of Elliott Wave International and author of 18 books on finance and socionomics, including Conquer the Crash, a New York Times bestseller.
Prechter's presentation Upcoming Regime Change in Finance and Beyond, which kicked off the FSC's Market Forecast 2021, has the distinction of being the most watched video on the FSC YouTube channel. It currently has over 41,000 views, and continues to grow every week.
Hosted by FSC Chairman of the Board and Executive Director Dr. Richard Smith, the special episode will revisit Prechter's slides from January 2021 and show how "regime change" has occurred in all three major financial areas: stocks, rates, and commodities. Then Smith and Prechter will discuss how far along we are and how far we have to go in the current trend.
The event is free. Sign up here.
October 22 at noon ET.
Board Member, Lars von Thienen was interviewed recently by Markus Koch on Markus Koch Wall Street. Koch reports in German on the New York stock market. When it comes reporting about the U.S. stock market, Koch is one of the most recognized faces in German financial/business media. His produces a podcast Wall Street mit Markus Koch and his YouTube channel has over 111K subscribers. Click to watch von Thienen interview. (Note: the interview is in German.)
Registration is now open for the Science Cycles Summit. Don't miss this incredible lineup of speakers. Register today!
The summit takes place on May 17 and May 19 at 4 PM EDT/9 PM BST.
Hosted by FSC Science Director Ray Tomes and Development Director Ron William, the presenters are luminaries in the field of cycles science, including:
- Ray Tomes: The 207-Year Solar Cycle and Very Energetic Events that Might Disrupt Human Systems
- David Murrin: Breaking the Code, Empires and Kondratieff Wave
- K. David Katzmire: American Cycles: The Crisis of 2027
- Ron William: History of Cycles and Key Influencers
FSC Science Cycles Summit: May 17 and 19 at 4 PM EDT/9 PM BST.